Saturday, November 19, 2005

I think something wonderful is happening in Mexico right under our noses. News reports (Int'l Herald Tribune, NY Times, Mexidata) suggest that issues are taking precedence over political party allegiances. Much has been written in the last decade or two about the decline of corruption in Mexico, and the benefits it will have for the average citizen. Less, I think, has been written about the impact this could have on the USA. Less still about the implications that voters ignore even the nudging of their own party leaders when selecting their next candidate. In the Mexican primary elections, PAN voters chose Felipe Calderón over Vincente Fox's choice of Santiago Creel. Reports abounded that Creel had taken bribes from gambling interests, and the voters appear to have noticed, and taken umbrage. Whether Calderón beats PRI candidate Roberto Madrazo and PRD candidate Andrés Manuel López Obrador, I expect that the shock waves have only started to affect the political calculus in Mexican parties. This will be one of the few seismic events I will watch with a smile on my face. But the proof will only come when Mexicans decide that enough opportunities exist in Mexico to make it worth staying. Stronger evidence still will come when Mexicans in the USA start moving back. One wonders how the USA will cope.